I read with interest the recent articles on A4U concerning splitting commissions and whether we should move to a system of multiple attribution (part 1, part 2 and part 3). Whilst it is welcoming that there is debate occurring on this topic, I don’t feel that an actionable solution has been put forward yet. So I thought I’d have a go.
This theory takes a couple of factors into consideration. Firstly, that the affiliate landscape has altered considerably over the last 10 years and can no longer be viewed as a single channel. Secondly that last click does not work in driving customers in at the start of the sales funnel. A natural consequence of paying on last click is that models have come to the fore, that focus on being there at the final stages of the sale. Nothing wrong with that, but I am becoming increasingly concerned that the other side of affiliate marketing, priming customers for a sale, is becoming lost.
So my proposal involves splitting affiliates into different groups dependant on the role within the sale that they play. I’m initially going to call these two groups the “primers” and the “converters”. Sitting within the priming group would be those affiliates whose focus is on providing information; the traditional content based sites, price comparison etc. Those that data has shown occur more towards the beginning of a journey. The converting group would include those that aim to appear towards the end and focus on a quick conversion, so cashback, voucher code and brand PPC.
These two groups effectively operate as two distinct affiliate campaigns for the same merchant. The commission may vary between each set or could be the same. However deduplication would only occur within that set and the last referrer within each set would receive a commission.
So a sale that goes via three content sites and then ends up converting on a last click basis through a voucher code site will mean that both the last content site involved and the voucher code site receive a commission. Of course the logic could also be altered to mean that the first referring content site took the credit.
The benefits of an approach like this are that you would actively encourage those types of affiliates who sit within the “priming set” to continue driving traffic as they will be rewarded for it. This is one of my key concerns about the affiliate market at present. You need to incentivise people to create compelling content, and draw customers in at the beginning of the sales funnel. This is one of the most attractive elements of affiliate marketing and must not be allowed to die out.
Additionally brands will still be able to work with those in the “conversion set”. One of the main issues with a multi attribution model is that you lose that ability as you can’t guarantee what commission level an affiliate will get. You can’t have a cashback site telling a customer that they may get £5 unless they have undergone a complex process of clicking on other sites 25 days before, in which case they’ll only get £2.50.
There are drawbacks of course. Brands will argue that it will result in them paying more for sales. It may be the case that they are paying more per sale, but if they are sales that they wouldn’t have got without the involvement of these affiliates then that argument is irrelevant. Of course, there is already precedent for this kind of approach when you look at all other marketing channels. When running a PPC campaign you pay out regardless of whether the sale converts there and then and you factor in that an element of the activity is focussed on branding and priming a sale rather than converting it. The same applies in display, in TV, press, radio etc. It also may be the case that overall commissions will drop as merchants end up paying out twice. However my view is that the market will dictate this.
There are obvious issues around the segmentation and classification of affiliates. Who dictates which affiliates sit in the priming and the conversion set? How many different affiliate groups should you have? In answer to this I think that there are more and more brands and agencies who are beginning to manage affiliate campaigns in a more intelligent way and putting resource behind it. Careful analysis of existing data should faciliatate this, but I emphasise again that it will probably be bespoke to each campaign and will take time to get right, requiring constant review.
In conclusion, the articles I reference above contain an overall feeling that last click just isn’t right anymore, but no real alternative to it exists. Here I propose something that appreciates that the market has evolved. Last click may have been the right way to look at things when affiliate operated as a single channel. Now we are operating multiple channels under the same CPA umbrella, a new metric that rewards both the priming of sales and the subsequent conversion is required.